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Cyber incidents that—whether due to human
error, system malfunction or intentional
targeting—impact satellite and missile systems
extend beyond the ongoing war in Ukraine. These
systems are essential to civilian and military
operations and disrupting them has the potential
to elicit conventional or even nuclear
retaliation. Due to the centrality of satellite
and missile-related infrastructure, cyber
incidents impacting the functionality of such
infrastructure have served as a catalyst for
previous confidence-building measures (CBMs)
that may provide a template for future ones.
This paper builds on SIPRI work to map
cyber-related missile and satellite incidents,
as well as unilateral, bilateral and
multilateral CBMs to provide takeaways meant to
foster greater predictability and stability in
cyberspace.
About the authors
Lora Saalman
(United States) is a Senior Researcher within
SIPRI’s Armament and Disarmament and Conflict,
Peace and Security research areas.
Larisa Saveleva Dovgal (Russia)
is a Research Assistant with the SIPRI Weapons
of Mass Destruction Programme.
Fei Su (China) is a
Researcher with the SIPRI China and Asia
Security Programme.
For information and interview requests contact
Amelie Lutz, SIPRI Communications Officer
(amelie.lutz@sipri.org, +46 76 628 61 33).
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