The Bureau of Labor Statistics Hasn't Heard About Automation
Published: 02 February 2017
http://cepr.net/blogs/beat-the-press/the-bureau-of-labor-statistics-hasn-t-heard-about-automation
While intellectual types are writing all sorts of grand treatises on
how automation is going to take all the jobs and leave most people
unemployed, the folks at the Bureau of Labor Statistics who actually
collect the data haven't gotten the message. They released data
today on productivity growth (this is the measure of the rate at
which automation is reducing the need for labor) for the 4th quarter
of 2016.
The data showed that productivity grew at a 1.3 percent annual rate
in the 4th quarter and is now 1.0 percent higher than it was a year
ago. This is roughly the same pace that productivity has grown for
the last decade. It is an extremely slow rate of productivity
growth. Productivity had grown at close to a 3.0 percent rate from
1995 to 2005 and also in the long Golden Age from 1947 to 1973.
In other words, instead of automation moving along at an incredibly
rapid rate leading to mass displacement of workers, it is actually
advancing very slowly. We can put the threat of automation in the
alternative facts category, albeit in the category of alternative
facts that appeals to intellectual-types.